Arizona State vs. TCU 2025 College Football: Expert Predictions, Betting Odds, Match Time, and Win Probability A week 5 Thriller. Tempe, Arizona, September 27, 2025, as the fifth week of the 2025 college football season begins, a thrilling Big 13 Conference matchup is set to take place on Friday night. the no .24 TCU horned Frogs (3-0 record) will face the arizona State Sun Devils (3-1record) this matchup will not only determine the course of tht season for both teams but could also be a turning point in the Big 12 title race TCU recently reconded a thrilling 35-24 win over in state rival SMU which propelled them to no 24 in the AP Top 25. Meanwhile,
Arizona State Kept Their playoff hopes alive with a thrilling 27-24 win against Baylor in week .4. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (6:30 A.M. IST) at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. The match will air live on Fox, and streaming can be done using FUBO or other Fox streaming services. According to the Latest betting odds. Arizona State is considered a 3-point favorite (Moneyline:-151). while TCU is the underdog at 126. The over-under for total points is set at 54.5, but before betting on these odds and predictions. It’s important to understand the opinion of SportsLine expert Emory Hunt, who has an impressive 8-3(473) record in Arizona State games
College Football 2025: Arizona State and TCU’s Current Form
The Big 12 Conference is set to be a highly competitive tournament heading into the 2025 college football season. Arizona State, which enjoyed one of its most successful seasons in history in 2024, has emerged as a top contender this year as well. The Sun Devils have three wins and one loss (against Mississippi State) so far,
But their recent win over Baylor demonstrated their depth and resilience. TCU, on the other hand, comes in with an undefeated record – wins over strong teams like North Carolina and SMU have made them a conference contender.
This matchup will be the first time the two teams have met as Big 12 rivals.
Historically, Arizona State leads the series 2-0, but the last meeting was in 1975, when the Sun Devils won comfortably, 33-10. Now, 50 years later, this matchup is a chance to create new memories.
Arizona State Sun Devils’ Strengths: Home-Field Advantage and a Balanced Attack
Arizona State’s key success lies in its balanced attack, which has flourished under the leadership of quarterback Sam Leavitt. Leavitt, a veteran and dual-threat player, has thrown for 748 passing yards, six touchdowns, and just three interceptions in four games this season. His 61% completion rate and 219 rushing yards (with four touchdowns) on the ground make him a versatile threat. But Leavitt’s true partner is wide receiver Jordan Tyson, who has caught 357 yards and five touchdowns on 31 receptions. Tyson’s deep-threat ability will pose a significant challenge for TCU’s secondary.
Ralek Brown’s contribution to the running game has been notable – he has accumulated 372 rushing yards at an average of 6.6 yards per carry. Coach Kenny Dillingham’s strategy focuses on clock control, which can hamper TCU’s high-paced attack. On defense, linebacker Jordan Briggs (team-leading tackles) and defensive back Tyler Johnson (specialized in pass breakups) are key. However, the Sun Devils’ air defense has been weak (allowing 246 passing yards per game), which could create opportunities for TCU’s Josh Hoover. Still, their eight-consecutive home win streak makes them a favorite.
TCU Horned Frogs’ Strengths: High-Scoring Offense and Defensive Disruption
TCU’s 3-0 record isn’t a lie – they’re coming in with a top-6 passing attack in college football (341.3 yards per game). Quarterback Josh Hoover has been impressive: 1,000 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, and just two interceptions in three games. Hoover’s arm and leg threat make him dangerous, especially after his 254-yard and three-touchdown performance against SMU. Wide receiver Eric McAllister is a star – with 13 catches, 320 yards, and three touchdowns, he was also named Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week.
The running back committee (Jeremy Penn, Trent Battle, etc.) has depth, although leading rusher Kevorrion Barnes is injured. On defense, defensive tackle Marquis Deal (1.5 sacks, 9 tackles) and safety Bud Clark (13 tackles, 1 interception return TD) are key. Cornerback Channing Canada’s coverage skills can stop Arizona State’s deep passes. TCU scores 41.7 points per game, but its third-down defense (weak) and road games (5-5 in the last 10) are weaknesses.
SportsLine expert Emory Hunt, founder of Football GamePlan and a former Louisiana Red Cajuns running back who has been providing football analysis since 2007, has an in-depth analysis of this matchup. Hunt has a 224-198 (+605) record in overall college football picks and an 8-3 (+473) record in Arizona State games. He recommends the over on the point total, as both teams average 80+ points. But for the spread, a critical X-factor (TCU’s road defense vs. ASU’s home attack) makes Arizona State the one to cover. Hunt says, “This matchup will be high-scoring, but the Sun Devils’ clock control will tire TCU out.”
Other Experts’ Opinions:
- Dimers.com: Arizona State will win 29-25 (61% chance).
- Covers: Back TCU at +3, with the Horned Frogs underdog value.
- Action Network: Over 54.5, Hoover’s 285+ passing yards.
- College Football News: Arizona State wins, but close game.
Key to the Match: X-Factor and Strategy
This match will hinge on a quarterback duel (Leavitt vs. Hoover). Arizona State’s strategy: Run the clock with the run game, make Tyson a deep target. TCU’s plan: Exploit ASU’s air defense with quick passes, but manage the pace on the road. Defensively, third-down stops and forcing turnovers will be factors. Clear weather (71°F, light wind) could make this a high-scoring match.
Win Prediction
Arizona State will win 30-27, taking advantage of home-field advantage and covering the spread. Over 54.5 is a safe bet. For new users, get $200 bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket discounts with a DraftKings promo code. A $300 bonus with a $5 bet on FanDuel.
Don’t miss this exciting college football 2025 matchup – will the Sun Devils continue their lucky streak, or will the Horned Frogs spring a surprise? Share your predictions in the comments! Follow for more updates.
