Chiefs-Giants Betting: Time to Get Mahomes and Co. Back on Track. Week 3 concludes on Sunday with a thrilling matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the New York Giants (8:20 pm.ET, NBC). This matchup is a significant occasion not only for football fans but also for bettors, as both teams are looking for wins after an unimpressive start to the season. The Chiefs suffered losses against the Los Angeles Chargers and Philadelphia Eagles, while the Giants are 0-2. This article will provide an in-depth review of the latest odds trends, expert analysis, and prop bets to help you make informed decisions
Odds and Trends
- Note: Odds are as of the time of publication. For the latest updates, visit ESPN BET.
- Spread: Chiefs -6.5 (-115)
- Total: 44.5 points
- Moneyline: Chiefs (-275), Giants (+225)
The Kansas City Chiefs are considered a 6.5-point favorite, reflecting their offensive strength and the Giants’ defensive weaknesses. In terms of Super Bowl odds, the Chiefs (+1400) are tied with the Chargers for fifth, but behind the Baltimore Ravens (+500), Buffalo Bills (+500), Green Bay Packers (+550), and Eagles (+700). However, the Chargers are favored over the Chiefs in the AFC West. The total of 44.5 points indicates that this game could be a mid-scoring affair, but the Chiefs’ offensive strength could tip the scales.
Expert Analysis and Betting Picks
Patrick Mahomes: Time to Rebound
Prop Bet: Patrick Mahomes over 229.5 passing yards (-115)
Analyst: Maldonado
Patrick Mahomes’ performance has been below his usual standards this season, but this is the perfect opportunity for him to rebound against the Giants. The Giants’ defense is the weakest in the league, giving up the second-most points per game and the most yards per drive. Their defense is weak both on the ground (5.9 yards per carry) and in the air (69.5% pass completion). The Giants’ red zone defense is also not effective, which increases the Chiefs’ scoring opportunities.
Mahomes doesn’t need to be Superman in this game. Despite his initial lack of accuracy, the Giants’ defensive line has been unable to generate consistent pressure. With players like Travis Kelce and Hollywood Brown, Mahomes has the potential to easily surpass 229.5 passing yards in this game. Selection: Over 229.5 passing yards.
Kareem Hunt: King of the Red Zone
Prop Bet: Kareem Hunt will score a touchdown anytime (+185)
Analyst: Maldonado
Kareem Hunt is an attractive plus-money prop bet in this game. Although he trails Isiah Pacheco in snaps and touches, Hunt is a vital part of the Chiefs’ strategy in the red zone. Over the past two weeks, Hunt has seen more snaps inside the 10-yard line than Pacheco. The Giants’ run defense is extremely weak, allowing 5.7 yards per carry, and has the worst rate at converting runs into first downs or touchdowns.
If the Chiefs sustain drives in this game, Hunt has the best chance of playing the role of the finisher at the goal line. With this value, taking this bet is a wise decision. Selection: Hunt will score a touchdown anytime.
Travis Kelce: Reliable Target
Prop Bet: Travis Kelce over 48.5 receiving yards (-120)
Analyst: Loza
With Xavier Worthy out, Kelce’s receiving yardage has increased from 45.5 to 48.5, but it’s still an attractive bet. The Chiefs are currently in trouble, and they rely on their most reliable player, Travis Kelce, to deliver. Kelce has received 10 targets over the past two weeks and has consistently recorded at least 47 receiving yards.
The Giants’ defense was unable to contain tight end Jake Ferguson last week against the Dallas Cowboys, who had nine catches and 78 yards. Kelce, who is the centerpiece of the Chiefs’ offensive strategy, could perform similarly in this game. Since Rashy Rice’s suspension, Kelce has averaged 55.4 receiving yards, making this prop even more attractive. Selection: Over 48.5 receiving yards.
Chiefs’ Offensive Strategy
The Chiefs started this season against strong defenses like the Chargers and Eagles, which posed some challenges to their offensive strategy. However, the Giants’ defense presents a golden opportunity for them. The Chiefs rely on passing in 62% of their offensive plays, and Mahomes’ chemistry with Hollywood Brown and Kelce will be crucial in this game.
The Giants’ defense allowed 361 passing yards to Dak Prescott, and their weaknesses could be further exposed against a quarterback like Mahomes. The Chiefs won’t have to rely heavily on their running game in this game, but running backs like Hunt and Pacheco could make significant contributions in the red zone.
Giants’ Defensive Weaknesses
The Giants’ defense has failed on every front this season. They are giving up the most points and yards per game in the league. Both their run defense (5.9 YPC) and pass defense (69.5% completion rate) are weak. Their inability to score in the red zone will provide numerous scoring opportunities for the Chiefs. Last week against Dallas, the Giants missed a chance to tie the game, and this weakness could prove even more costly against the Chiefs.
Betting Strategy
- Chiefs -6.5 (-115): The Chiefs’ offensive strength and the Giants’ defensive weaknesses are enough to cover this spread. With players like Mahomes and Kelce, the Chiefs could easily win this game by 7 or more points.
- Total Over 44.5: The Giants’ defense has been unable to stop the scoring, and the Chiefs’ offensive efficiency could make this game a high-scoring one.
Prop Bets:
- Patrick Mahomes will have more than 229.5 passing yards.
- Kareem Hunt will score a touchdown anytime.
- Travis Kelce will have more than 48.5 receiving yards.
This game is a great opportunity for the Kansas City Chiefs to bounce back from their season-opening loss. Players like Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Kareem Hunt are poised to take advantage of the Giants’ weak defense. For bettors, the Chiefs -6.5, the total over 44.5, and the aforementioned prop bets offer value in this game. Visit ESPN BET for the latest odds and updates to inform your betting decisions
